The bellwether : why Ohio picks the president /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:	Kondik, Kyle, author.
Imprint:	Athens, Ohio : Ohio University Press, [2016]
Description:	xv, 172 pages: illustrations, maps; 23 cm
Language:	English
Subject:	Elections -- Ohio. Presidents -- Election. Presidents -- United States. Voting -- Ohio. Elections. Politics and government. Presidents. Presidents -- Election. Voting. Ohio -- Politics and government. Ohio. United States.
Format:	Print Book
URL for this record:	http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/10811829

Hidden Bibliographic Details
ISBN:	9780821422076 0821422073 9780821422083 0821422081 9780821445549 0821445545
Notes:	Includes bibliographical references (pages 141-164) and index.
Summary:	"Since 1896, Ohio voters have failed to favor the next president only twice (in 1944 and 1960). Time after time, Ohio has found itself in the thick of the presidential race, and 2016 is shaping up to be no different. What about the Buckeye State makes it so special? In The Bellwether, Kyle Kondik, managing editor for the nonpartisan political forecasting newsletter Sabato's Crystal Ball, blends data-driven research and historical documentation to explain Ohio's remarkable record as a predictor of presidential results and why the state is essential to the 2016 election and beyond. Part history, part journalism, this entertaining and astute guide proposes that Ohio has been the key state in the Electoral College for more than a century and examines what the idea of the swing state has come to mean. In discussing the evidence, Kondik uses the state's oft-mentioned status as a microcosm of the nation as a case study to trace the evolution of the American electorate, and identifies which places in Ohio have the most influence on the statewide result. Finally, he delves into the answer to the question voting Ohioans consider every four years: Will their state remain a bellwether, or is their ability to pick the president on its way out?"--

Table of Contents:

List of Illustrations
Acknowledgments
Introduction
1. Swing States, Bellwethers, and the Nation's Shrinking Political Middle
2. Ohio at the Head of the Flock
3. Typical in All Things
4. The Civil War at the Ballot Box, 1896-1932
5. Roosevelt, Eisenhower, and Nixon-but Not Taft, 1936-1972
6. Obama Rewrites the Carter-Clinton Playbook, 1976-2012
7. Searching for the Bellwether's Bellwether
Conclusion Will Ohio Remain a Bellwether (and Will It Lose Anything If It Doesn't)?
Notes
A Note on Sources
Bibliography
Index

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