Uncertainties in environmental modelling and consequences for policy making /

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Bibliographic Details
Imprint:Dordrecht : Springer, ©2009.
Description:1 online resource (xix, 401 pages) : illustrations.
Language:English
Series:NATO science for peace and security series. Series C, environmental security
NATO science for peace and security series. Series C, Environmental security.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/11072754
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Baveye, P. (Philippe)
Mysiak, Jaroslav.
Laba, Magdeline.
NATO Advanced Study Institute on Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making (2007 : Vrsar, Croatia)
ISBN:9789048126361
9048126363
9789048126347
9048126347
9048126355
9789048126354
Notes:Includes bibliographical references and index.
Print version record.
Summary:Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field.
Other form:Print version: Uncertainties in environmental modelling and consequences for policy making. Dordrecht : Springer, ©2009 9789048126347 9048126347

MARC

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505 0 0 |g Machine generated contents note:  |g Theme I  |t Model Conceptualization --  |g Theme II  |t Verification Of Models --  |g Theme III  |t Calibration And Sensitivity Analysis --  |g Theme IV  |t Evaluation Of Models --  |g Theme V  |t Communicating Modelling Results And Uncertainties --  |g Theme VI  |t Decision Making On The Basis Of Model Prediction --  |g Case Study I  |t Soil Carbon Dynamics --  |g Case Study II  |t Global Climate Change --  |g Case Study III  |t Natural Attenuation Of Contamimants And Risk Assessment. 
588 0 |a Print version record. 
520 |a Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field. 
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