Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections : a Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures /
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Author / Creator: | Schröder, Winfried. |
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Imprint: | Dordrecht : Springer, 2013. |
Description: | 1 online resource (viii, 58 pages) : illustrations, maps. |
Language: | English |
Series: | SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science SpringerBriefs in environmental science. |
Subject: | |
Format: | E-Resource Book |
URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/11083606 |
Other authors / contributors: | Schmidt, Gunther, active 2014, author. |
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ISBN: | 9783319038230 3319038230 9783319038223 |
Notes: | Includes bibliographical references. Print version record. |
Summary: | This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study. |
Other form: | Print version: Schröder, Winfried. Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections. Dordrecht : Springer, 2013 9783319038223 |
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