Scenario planning in organizations : how to create, use, and assess scenarios /

Scenario planning in organizations : how to create, use, and assess scenarios /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:	Chermack, Thomas J.
Imprint:	San Francisco : Berrett-Koehler, ©2011.
Description:	1 online resource (xx, 272 pages) : illustrations.
Language:	English
Series:	A publication in the Berrett-Koehler organizational performance series Publication in the Berrett-Koehler organizational performance series.
Subject:	Management -- Simulation methods. Strategic planning -- Simulation methods. Management -- Simulation methods. Strategic planning -- Simulation methods. Electronic books.
Format:	E-Resource Book
URL for this record:	http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/11246177

Hidden Bibliographic Details
ISBN:	9781605094144 1605094145 9781605094274 1605094277 9781605094137 1605094137 9781605099088 1605099082
Notes:	Includes bibliographical references (pages 247-258) and index. Print version record.
Summary:	Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast-changing environment. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision-making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice-focused books do?he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project. Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system?project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking.?This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage?. -- Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation.
Other form:	Print version: Chermack, Thomas J. Scenario planning in organizations. San Francisco : Berrett-Koehler, ©2011 9781605094137

Table of Contents:

Introduction to performance-based scenario planning
The theoretical foundations of performance-based scenario planning
The performance-based scenario system
Scenario case study
Project preparation phase
Scenario exploration phase
Scenario development phase
Scenario implementation phase
Project assessment phase
Managing scenario projects
Human perceptions in the scenario system
Initiating your first scenario project.