Default, credit growth, and asset prices /
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Author / Creator: | Segoviano, Miguel A., author. |
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Imprint: | [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Monetary and Financial Systems Dept., 2006. |
Description: | 1 online resource (43 pages) : illustrations |
Language: | English |
Series: | IMF working paper ; WP/06/223 IMF working paper ; WP/06/223. |
Subject: | |
Format: | E-Resource Book |
URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12498570 |
Summary: | This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the fragility of their banking systems. Based on theory and stylized facts, the paper explores a range of financial and real variables that explain such PoDs across time. We find property price fluctuations and bank credit to be important explanatory factors. There is two-way interaction between these variables and a clearer relationship when the variables are entered as a deviation from trend. The lag structure between such developments and PoDs is long and varies widely across countries. The paper assesses the implications of these findings for economic policy. |
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Physical Description: | 1 online resource (43 pages) : illustrations |
Format: | Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. |
Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references. |
ISBN: | 9781451909364 1451909365 |