Sovereign risk, fiscal policy, and macroeconomic stability /
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Imprint: | [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012. |
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Description: | 1 online resource (56 pages) : illustrations |
Language: | English |
Series: | IMF working paper ; WP/12/33 IMF working paper ; WP/12/33. |
Subject: | |
Format: | E-Resource Book |
URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12499991 |
Other authors / contributors: | Corsetti, Giancarlo, author. International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department, issuing body. |
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ISBN: | 9781463933180 1463933185 |
Notes: | At head of title: Monetary and Capital Markets Department. Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed January 26, 2012). Includes bibliographical references. |
Summary: | This paper analyzes the impact of strained government finances on macroeconomic stability and the transmission of fiscal policy. Using a variant of the model by Curdia and Woodford (2009), we study a "sovereign risk channel" through which sovereign default risk raises funding costs in the private sector. If monetary policy is constrained, the sovereign risk channel exacerbates indeterminacy problems: private-sector beliefs of a weakening economy may become self-fulfilling. In addition, sovereign risk amplifies the effects of negative cyclical shocks. Under those conditions, fiscal retrenchment can help curtail the risk of macroeconomic instability and, in extreme cases, even stimulate economic activity. |
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