Exchange rate volatility under peg : do trade patterns matter? /

Exchange rate volatility under peg : do trade patterns matter? /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:	Lonkeng Ngouana, Constant, author.
Imprint:	[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012.
Description:	1 online resource (20 pages) : color charts
Language:	English
Series:	IMF working paper ; WP/12/73 IMF working paper ; WP/12/73.
Subject:	Union économique et monétaire ouest africaine. Union économique et monétaire ouest africaine. Foreign exchange rates -- Africa, West. Commerce. Foreign exchange rates. Africa, West -- Commerce. West Africa. Electronic books.
Format:	E-Resource Book
URL for this record:	http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12500118

Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:	International Monetary Fund. African Department, issuing body.
ISBN:	9781475503746 1475503741
Notes:	At head of title: African Department. Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed March 9, 2012). "March 2012." Includes bibliographical references (pages 19-20).
Summary:	This paper assesses the role of trade patterns in shaping the volatility of the effective exchange rate under two alternative peg regimes: a hard peg to a single currency and a peg to a basket of currencies. I link the changes in the nominal effective exchange rate of a pegged currency to the fluctuations of its anchor vis-a-vis other major currencies, with an emphasis on the dynamics of trade patterns. In an application to the WAEMU (West African Economic and Monetary Union), I find that the nominal effective exchange rate of the union was twice as volatile under the hard peg to the euro as it would have been under a hypothetical basket peg over the past decade. This result was driven by the substantial shifts that occurred in WAEMU trade patterns.away from euro area countries and toward the "BICs" (Brazil, India, and China). These findings suggest that policymakers should pay as much attention to the type of peg as to pegging in itself, with a particular focus on the dynamics of trade patterns.
Other form:	Print version: Lonkeng Ngouana, Constant. Exchange Rate Volatility Under Peg: Do Trade Patterns Matter? Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2012 9781475502251

Table of Contents:

Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; A. Related Literature; II. Background; A. Institutional Arrangement of the CFA Franc's Peg; B. Exchange Rate Developments in the WAEMU; C. The Dynamics of the WAEMU's Trade Patterns (1980-2010); III. Analytics; IV. Application: The WAEMU's Nominal Effective Exchange Rate; A. Data Sources and Computations; B. Quantitative Analysis; C. Sensitivity Analysis; V. Conclusion; Selected References.