An end to China's imbalances? /
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| Imprint: | [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012. |
|---|---|
| Description: | 1 online resource (23 pages) : illustrations |
| Language: | English |
| Series: | IMF working paper ; WP/12/100 IMF working paper ; WP/12/100. |
| Subject: | |
| Format: | E-Resource Book |
| URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12500199 |
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| 050 | 4 | |a HG3883.C45 |b .E53 2012eb | |
| 050 | 4 | |a HG3881.5.I58 |b W67 No. 12/100eb | |
| 245 | 0 | 3 | |a An end to China's imbalances? / |c Ashvin Ahuja [and others]. |
| 260 | |a [Washington, D.C.] : |b International Monetary Fund, |c ©2012. | ||
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (23 pages) : |b illustrations | ||
| 336 | |a text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a computer |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a online resource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 1 | |a IMF working paper ; |v WP/12/100 | |
| 520 | 3 | |a Global imbalances have been a central theme of the international economic policy debate for much of the last decade, prompted by large and sustained current account deficits in the U.S. and counterpart surpluses in China, Germany, and among many of the oil producers. This paper focuses on the current state of the external imbalance in China, examining the factors underlying the post-2008 drop in China's current account surplus and analyzing the prospects for the external surplus going forward. The paper finds that China's current account surplus should remain modest in the coming years. However, despite the fact that China's medium-term current account is likely to stay below its pre-crisis range, it is too early to conclude that "rebalancing" has been truly achieved in China. While imbalances do not currently seem to be manifesting themselves as a feature of China's external accounts, the evidence increasingly points to a rising domestic imbalance as growth becomes increasingly dependent on very high levels of investment. | |
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references. | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Recent Path of China's External Imbalance; III. What Is Driving the Declining Surplus?; A. The Collapse in Global Demand; B.A Step Increase in Investment; C. The Role of Commodities and Capital Goods; D. The Terms of Trade; E. Exchange Rate Appreciation; F. Net Income Flows; G. Putting It All Together; IV. Policy Reform, Demographics, and Cost Pressures; A. Policy Reforms; B. Urbanization; C. Demographic Change; V. Empirical Analysis; VI. A Revised Outlook. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a VII. What Does This Revised Outlook for China's Current Account Imply for the Path of Global Imbalances?VIII. Conclusion; References. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Balance of payments |z China |x Econometric models. | |
| 651 | 0 | |a China |x Economic conditions. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85024011 | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Balance des paiements |z Chine |x Modèles économétriques. | |
| 651 | 6 | |a Chine |x Conditions économiques. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Balance of payments |x Econometric models. |2 fast |0 (OCoLC)fst00825676 | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Economic history. |2 fast |0 (OCoLC)fst00901974 | |
| 651 | 7 | |a China. |2 fast |0 (OCoLC)fst01206073 | |
| 655 | 0 | |a Electronic books. | |
| 655 | 4 | |a Electronic books. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Ahuja, Ashvin, |e author. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2011026299 | |
| 710 | 2 | |a International Monetary Fund. |b Asia and Pacific Department, |e issuing body. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no97006778 | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Print version: |t End to China's imbalances? |d [Washington, District of Columbia] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012 |h 22 pages |k IMF working paper ; WP/12/100 |z 9781475502909 |
| 830 | 0 | |a IMF working paper ; |v WP/12/100. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2012/100/001.2012.issue-100-en.xml |y INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND |
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