Threshold effects of sovereign debt : evidence from the Caribbean /

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Bibliographic Details
Imprint:[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012.
Description:1 online resource (23 pages)
Language:English
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/12/157
IMF working paper ; WP/12/157.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12500271
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Greenidge, Kevin, author.
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department, issuing body.
ISBN:9781475514292
1475514298
9781475594980
1475594984
9781475504507
1475504500
Notes:Includes bibliographical references.
Summary:This paper addresses the issue of threshold effects between public debt and economic growth in the Caribbean. The main finding is that there exists a threshold debt to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of 55-56 percent. Moreover, the debt dynamics begin changing well before this threshold is reached. Specifically, at debt levels lower than 30 percent of GDP, increases in the debt-to-GDP ratio are associated with faster economic growth. However, as debt rises beyond 30 percent, the effects on economic growth diminishes rapidly and at debt levels reaching 55-56 percent of GDP, the growth impacts switch from positive to negative. Thus, beyond this threshold, debt becomes a drag on growth.
Other form:Print version: Drakes, Lisa. Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt: Evidence from the Caribbean. Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2012 9781475504507

MARC

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245 0 0 |a Threshold effects of sovereign debt :  |b evidence from the Caribbean /  |c prepared by Kevin Greenidge [and others]. 
260 |a [Washington, D.C.] :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c ©2012. 
300 |a 1 online resource (23 pages) 
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490 1 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/12/157 
520 |a This paper addresses the issue of threshold effects between public debt and economic growth in the Caribbean. The main finding is that there exists a threshold debt to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of 55-56 percent. Moreover, the debt dynamics begin changing well before this threshold is reached. Specifically, at debt levels lower than 30 percent of GDP, increases in the debt-to-GDP ratio are associated with faster economic growth. However, as debt rises beyond 30 percent, the effects on economic growth diminishes rapidly and at debt levels reaching 55-56 percent of GDP, the growth impacts switch from positive to negative. Thus, beyond this threshold, debt becomes a drag on growth. 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references. 
505 0 |a Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Historical Behavior of Public Debt; Tables; 1. Summary Statistics for Nominal Public Debt; Figures; 1. Nominal Public Debt Levels of Selected CARICOM States; 2. Summary Statistics for Real Public Debt; 2. Real Public Debt for Selected CARICOM States; 3. Summary Statistics for Public Debt to GDP Ratios of Selected CARICOM States; 3. Public Debt to GDP Ratios of Selected CARICOM States; 4. Summary Statistics for the Growth in the Public Debt to GDP Ratio; 4. Growth of the Public Debt to GDP Ratio; III. Literature Review; IV. Methodology and Data. 
505 8 |a V. Results5. Threshold Debt Regression using the Modified Hansen Model; 6. Estimated Loss in Real GDP Growth (In percentage points); 5. Public Debt and Growth; 6. Investment and Growth; 7. Trade and Growth; 8. Government Spending and Growth; 9. Inflation and Growth; 10. Sum of Squared Residuals as a Function of Debt Threshold; VI. Conclusion; 11. Sum of Squared Residuals with Instruments; 12. Stylized Shape of the Threshold Effects of Public Debt on Growth; References. 
650 0 |a Debts, Public  |z Caribbean Area  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Economic development  |z Caribbean Area  |x Econometric models. 
650 6 |a Dettes publiques  |z Caraïbes (Région)  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Développement économique  |z Caraïbes (Région)  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 7 |a Debts, Public  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00888859 
650 7 |a Economic development  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00901797 
651 7 |a Caribbean Area.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01244080 
655 4 |a Electronic books. 
700 1 |a Greenidge, Kevin,  |e author.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2004021887 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b Western Hemisphere Department,  |e issuing body.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n82237138 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Drakes, Lisa.  |t Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt: Evidence from the Caribbean.  |d Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2012  |z 9781475504507 
830 0 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/12/157.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 
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