Striking an appropriate balance among public investment, growth, and debt sustainability in Cape Verde /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Mu, Yibin, 1968- author.
Imprint:[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012.
Description:1 online resource (34 pages)
Language:English
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/12/280
IMF working paper ; WP/12/280.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12501337
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:International Monetary Fund. African Department, issuing body.
ISBN:9781475537819
1475537816
9781475544992
1475544995
Notes:Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Dec. 5, 2012).
"African Department."
"November 2012."
Includes bibliographical references.
Summary:Despite relatively fast economic growth over the past few years, Cape Verde's public debt to GDP ratio has risen rapidly. Achieving an appropriate balance among public investment, growth, and debt sustainability has become a priority for the Cape Verdean authorities. The IMF-World Bank debt sustainability analysis (DSA) framework has helped the authorities monitor the risks of debt stress. However, the DSA has a number of limitations. This paper intends to complement the DSA by addressing aspects currently not covered by the DSA. The paper evaluates public investment scaling-up strategies in Cape Verde by customizing the Buffie and others (2012) model for Cape Verde and conducting various scenario and sensitivity analysis. The paper assesses Cape Verde's public debt risks, taking into account the link between public investment and growth. The paper concludes that the size of scaling-up and aspects of the economic structure have significant impact on the outcome of the public investment. A very large surge in public investment may lead to a debt to GDP ratio that reaches dangerous levels based on the usual DSA criteria. A more moderate scaling-up of public investment may contribute better to stable and sustained growth over the medium and long run. In addition, it is critical that the authorities ensure the quality of public investment.

MARC

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100 1 |a Mu, Yibin,  |d 1968-  |e author.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n2008048466 
245 1 0 |a Striking an appropriate balance among public investment, growth, and debt sustainability in Cape Verde /  |c prepared by Yibin Mu. 
260 |a [Washington, D.C.] :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c ©2012. 
300 |a 1 online resource (34 pages) 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
490 1 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/12/280 
500 |a Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Dec. 5, 2012). 
520 |a Despite relatively fast economic growth over the past few years, Cape Verde's public debt to GDP ratio has risen rapidly. Achieving an appropriate balance among public investment, growth, and debt sustainability has become a priority for the Cape Verdean authorities. The IMF-World Bank debt sustainability analysis (DSA) framework has helped the authorities monitor the risks of debt stress. However, the DSA has a number of limitations. This paper intends to complement the DSA by addressing aspects currently not covered by the DSA. The paper evaluates public investment scaling-up strategies in Cape Verde by customizing the Buffie and others (2012) model for Cape Verde and conducting various scenario and sensitivity analysis. The paper assesses Cape Verde's public debt risks, taking into account the link between public investment and growth. The paper concludes that the size of scaling-up and aspects of the economic structure have significant impact on the outcome of the public investment. A very large surge in public investment may lead to a debt to GDP ratio that reaches dangerous levels based on the usual DSA criteria. A more moderate scaling-up of public investment may contribute better to stable and sustained growth over the medium and long run. In addition, it is critical that the authorities ensure the quality of public investment. 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references. 
500 |a "African Department." 
500 |a "November 2012." 
505 0 |a Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Construction of the Model and Calibration of the Case of Cape Verde; A. Model Construction for Cape Verde; B. Model Calibration for Cape Verde; III. The Base Case; Figures; 1. Base Case; IV. Alternative Case Analysis; A. Alternative Case-Lower Public Investment; 2. Lower Public Investment Scenario and Base Case; B. Alternative Case-Higher Public Investment; 3. Higher Public Investment Scenario and Base Case; V. Sensitivity Analysis; A. Sensitivity Analysis-Optimistic Scenario; 4. Optimistic Scenario and Base Case. 
505 8 |a B. Sensitivity Analysis-Pessimistic Scenario5. Pessimistic Scenario and Base Case; VI. Policy Implications; References. 
650 0 |a Debts, Public  |z Cabo Verde. 
650 0 |a Debts, Public  |z Cabo Verde  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Public investments  |z Cabo Verde. 
650 0 |a Public investments  |z Cabo Verde  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Economic development  |z Cabo Verde. 
650 0 |a Economic development  |z Cabo Verde  |x Econometric models. 
650 6 |a Dettes publiques  |z Cap-Vert. 
650 6 |a Dettes publiques  |z Cap-Vert  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Investissements publics  |z Cap-Vert. 
650 6 |a Investissements publics  |z Cap-Vert  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Développement économique  |z Cap-Vert. 
650 6 |a Développement économique  |z Cap-Vert  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 7 |a Debts, Public.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00888850 
650 7 |a Debts, Public  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00888859 
650 7 |a Economic development.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00901785 
650 7 |a Economic development  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00901797 
650 7 |a Public investments.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01082546 
650 7 |a Public investments  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01082549 
651 7 |a Cabo Verde.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01216993 
655 4 |a Electronic books. 
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