A New Framework To Estimate the Risk-Neutral Probability Density Functions Embedded in Options Prices.

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Cheng, Kevin C.
Imprint:Washington : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Description:1 online resource (46 pages).
Language:English
Series:IMF Working Papers
IMF Working Papers.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12502375
Hidden Bibliographic Details
ISBN:9781455219278
1455219274
1462376924
9781462376926
1282846531
9781282846531
9786612846533
6612846534
1455202150
9781455202157
Notes:Includes bibliographical references.
Print version record.
Summary:Building on the widely-used double-lognormal approach by Bahra (1997), this paper presents a multi-lognormal approach with restrictions to extract risk-neutral probability density functions (RNPs) for various asset classes. The contributions are twofold: first, on the technical side, the paper proposes useful transformation/restrictions to Bahra's original formulation for achieving economically sensible outcomes. In addition, the paper compares the statistical properties of the estimated RNPs among major asset classes, including commodities, the S & P 500, the dollar/euro exchange rate, and the.
Other form:Print version: Cheng, Kevin C. A New Framework To Estimate the Risk-Neutral Probability Density Functions Embedded in Options Prices. Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2010 9781455202157