Fiscal consolidation during times of high unemployment : the role of productivity gains and wage restraint /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Lama, Ruy, 1975- (IMF staff), author.
Imprint:[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2015.
Description:1 online resource (41 pages) : color illustrations.
Language:English
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/15/262
IMF working paper ; WP/15/262.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12505644
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Medina Guzman, Juan Pablo, 1971- author.
International Monetary Fund. Research Department.
ISBN:1513501194
9781513501192
ISSN:1018-5941
Notes:"December 2015."
"Research Department."
Includes bibliographical references (pages 37-40).
Online resource; title from pdf title page (IMF.org Web site, viewed December 22, 2015).
Summary:This paper studies the Swedish fiscal consolidation episode of the 1990s through the lens of a small open economy model with distortionary taxation and unemployment. We argue that the simultaneous reduction in the fiscal deficit and unemployment rate in this episode stems from two factors: (i) high growth rates of total factor productivity (TFP), experienced after the implementation of structural reforms; and (ii) a sustained wage restraint that occurred during the 1990s. The model simulations show that economic growth, accounted for mostly by TFP gains, improved the fiscal balance by 8 percentage points of GDP through an expansion of the tax base and fiscal revenues. Moreover, the combination of stable wages and higher TFP boosted net exports and led to a reduction in the unemployment rate. A counterfactual simulation assuming stagnant TFP shows that fiscal consolidation measures alone would have generated a double-digit unemployment rate without eliminating the fiscal deficit.--Abstract.
Standard no.:10.5089/9781513501192.001

MARC

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520 |a This paper studies the Swedish fiscal consolidation episode of the 1990s through the lens of a small open economy model with distortionary taxation and unemployment. We argue that the simultaneous reduction in the fiscal deficit and unemployment rate in this episode stems from two factors: (i) high growth rates of total factor productivity (TFP), experienced after the implementation of structural reforms; and (ii) a sustained wage restraint that occurred during the 1990s. The model simulations show that economic growth, accounted for mostly by TFP gains, improved the fiscal balance by 8 percentage points of GDP through an expansion of the tax base and fiscal revenues. Moreover, the combination of stable wages and higher TFP boosted net exports and led to a reduction in the unemployment rate. A counterfactual simulation assuming stagnant TFP shows that fiscal consolidation measures alone would have generated a double-digit unemployment rate without eliminating the fiscal deficit.--Abstract. 
588 0 |a Online resource; title from pdf title page (IMF.org Web site, viewed December 22, 2015). 
650 0 |a Fiscal policy  |z Sweden  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Unemployment  |z Sweden  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Wages  |z Sweden  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Industrial productivity  |z Sweden  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Business cycles  |z Sweden  |x Econometric models. 
650 6 |a Politique fiscale  |z Suède  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Productivité  |z Suède  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Cycles économiques  |z Suède  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 7 |a Business cycles  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00842461 
650 7 |a Fiscal policy  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00925810 
650 7 |a Industrial productivity  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00971508 
650 7 |a Unemployment  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01161217 
650 7 |a Wages  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01169604 
651 7 |a Sweden.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01204537 
700 1 |a Medina Guzman, Juan Pablo,  |d 1971-  |e author.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2005009315 
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