Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates : How Sustainable is the "New Economy"? /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Kumar, Manmohan S.
Imprint:Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Description:1 online resource (34 pages).
Language:English
Series:IMF Working Papers, 2227-8885 ; Working Paper No. 06/112
IMF Working Papers ; Working Paper no. 06/112.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12508012
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Hauner, David.
Kumar, Manmohan S.
International Monetary Fund.
ISBN:1451909063
9781451909067
9781451863727
1451863721
9781451909067
Notes:Available in PDF, ePUB, and Mobi formats on the Internet.
Summary:This paper explores the determinants of long-term government bond yields in the Group of Seven (G-7) economies and analyzes the factors that could explain the conundrum of very low rates in the face of a variety of adverse factors in recent years. In particular, the paper focuses on the deteriorating fiscal position in the G-7 economies and enquires which factors could have offset their impact on long-term interest rates, and how sustainable they are likely to be. A model of interest rate determination is elaborated and estimated for the G-7, with explicit emphasis on capital flows and public savings. The results suggest a high likelihood of a substantial impact of the weaker budgetary positions in the G-7 on global interest rates when the offsetting unprecedented capital flows slow down.
Standard no.:10.5089/9781451909067.001

MARC

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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers,  |x 2227-8885 ;  |v Working Paper No. 06/112 
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520 3 |a This paper explores the determinants of long-term government bond yields in the Group of Seven (G-7) economies and analyzes the factors that could explain the conundrum of very low rates in the face of a variety of adverse factors in recent years. In particular, the paper focuses on the deteriorating fiscal position in the G-7 economies and enquires which factors could have offset their impact on long-term interest rates, and how sustainable they are likely to be. A model of interest rate determination is elaborated and estimated for the G-7, with explicit emphasis on capital flows and public savings. The results suggest a high likelihood of a substantial impact of the weaker budgetary positions in the G-7 on global interest rates when the offsetting unprecedented capital flows slow down. 
505 0 |a "Contents"; "I. INTRODUCTION"; "II. LOW GLOBAL INTEREST RATES: POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONS"; "III. A MODEL OF INTEREST RATE DETERMINATION"; "IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE"; "A. Data and Methodology"; "B. Empirical Results"; "C. A New Economy of Interest Rates?"; "V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS"; "REFERENCES" 
650 0 |a Interest rates.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85067247 
650 0 |a Fiscal policy.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85048601 
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650 6 |a Politique fiscale. 
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650 7 |a Interest rates.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00976178 
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700 1 |a Kumar, Manmohan S. 
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