The response of the current account to terms of trade shocks : persistence matters /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Kent, Christopher J., 1967- author.
Imprint:Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, European I and Research Dept., ©2003.
Description:1 online resource (48 pages) : illustrations
Language:English
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/03/143
IMF working paper ; WP/03/143.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/13510646
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Cashin, Paul, author.
International Monetary Fund. European I Department.
International Monetary Fund. Research Department.
ISBN:1282014803
9781282014800
Notes:Includes bibliographical references (pages 46-48).
Restrictions unspecified
Electronic reproduction. [Place of publication not identified] : HathiTrust Digital Library, 2010.
Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212
digitized 2010 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve
Print version record.
Summary:Is the relationship between the current account balance and the terms of trade affected by the persistence of terms of trade shocks? In intertemporal models of the current account that incorporate a consumption-smoothing and an investment response to shocks, the effect of the terms of trade on external balances is predicted to be dependent on the duration of terms of trade shocks. Using a median-unbiased estimator, an unbiased model-selection rule, and terms of trade data for 128 countries over the period 1960-99 we identify two groups of countries-those that typically experience temporary terms of trade shocks and those that typically experience permanent terms of trade shocks. The results from panel-data regressions of the two groups of countries support the theoretical predictions of the intertemporal approach to the current account. We find that the greater (lesser) the persistence of the terms of trade shock, the more (less) the investment effect dominates the consumption-smoothing effect on saving, so that the current account balance moves in the opposite (same) direction as that of the shock.
Other form:Print version: Kent, Christopher J., 1967- Response of the current account to terms of trade shocks. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, European I and Research Dept., ©2003

MARC

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520 |a Is the relationship between the current account balance and the terms of trade affected by the persistence of terms of trade shocks? In intertemporal models of the current account that incorporate a consumption-smoothing and an investment response to shocks, the effect of the terms of trade on external balances is predicted to be dependent on the duration of terms of trade shocks. Using a median-unbiased estimator, an unbiased model-selection rule, and terms of trade data for 128 countries over the period 1960-99 we identify two groups of countries-those that typically experience temporary terms of trade shocks and those that typically experience permanent terms of trade shocks. The results from panel-data regressions of the two groups of countries support the theoretical predictions of the intertemporal approach to the current account. We find that the greater (lesser) the persistence of the terms of trade shock, the more (less) the investment effect dominates the consumption-smoothing effect on saving, so that the current account balance moves in the opposite (same) direction as that of the shock. 
650 0 |a Balance of payments  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Terms of trade  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Prices  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a International trade  |x Econometric models.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2008104853 
650 6 |a Balance des paiements  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Termes de l'échange  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Prix  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Commerce international  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 7 |a Balance of payments  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00825676 
650 7 |a International trade  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst00977133 
650 7 |a Prices  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01076211 
650 7 |a Terms of trade  |x Econometric models.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01147950 
655 4 |a Electronic books. 
700 1 |a Cashin, Paul,  |e author.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no94039435 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b European I Department.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no92021092 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b Research Department.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n77001219 
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830 0 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/03/143.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 
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