The puzzle of persistently negative interest rate-growth differentials : financial repression or income catch-up? /
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Author / Creator: | Escolano, Julio, author. |
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Imprint: | [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2011. |
Description: | 1 online resource (30 pages) : illustrations |
Language: | English |
Series: | IMF working paper ; WP/11/260 IMF working paper ; WP/11/260. |
Subject: | |
Format: | E-Resource Book |
URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/13510761 |
Summary: | The interest rate-growth differential (IRGD) shows a marked correlation with GDP per capita. It has been on average around 1 percentage point for large advanced economies during 1999-2008; but below -7 percentage points among non-advanced economies - exerting a powerful stabilizing influence on government debt ratios. We show that large negative IRGDs are largely due to real interest rates well below market equilibrium - possibly stemming from financial repression and captive and distorted markets, whereas the income catch-up process plays a relatively modest role. We find econometric support for this conjecture. Therefore, the IRGD in non-advanced economies is likely to rise with financial integration and market development, well before their GDP per capita converges to advanced-economy levels. |
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Item Description: | At head of title: Fiscal Affairs Department. Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed November 28. 2011). "November 2011." |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (30 pages) : illustrations |
Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references. |
ISBN: | 1283557754 9781283557757 9781463942908 1463942907 1463984898 9781463984892 1463975708 9781463975708 9786613870209 661387020X |