Lifting growth in the Western Balkans : the role of global value chains and services exports /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Ilahi, Nadeem, author.
Imprint:Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, [2019]
Description:1 online resource
Language:English
Series:International Monetary Fund. European Department ; no. 19/13
Departmental paper series (International Monetary Fund) ; no. 19/13.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/13513638
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Other authors / contributors:International Monetary Fund; issuing body.
ISBN:1513519174
9781513519173
Notes:Description based on online resource; title from digital title page (viewed on April 29, 2021).
Summary:In the past 25 years, exports have contributed strongly to growth and economic convergence in many small open economies. However, the Western Balkan (WB) region, consisting of small emerging market economies, has not fully availed itself of this driver of growth and convergence. A lack of openness, reliance on low value products, and weak competitiveness largely explain the insignificant role of trade and exports in the region's economic performance. This paper focuses on how the countries in the WB could lift exports through stronger integration with global value chains (GVCs) and broadening of services exports. The experience of countries that joined the European Union in or after 2004 shows that participation in GVCs can help small economies accelerate export and income growth. WB countries are not well integrated into Europe's vibrant GVCs. Trade within the region is also limited-it tends to be bilateral and not cluster-like. Our analysis shows that by improving infrastructure and labor skills and adopting trade policies that ensure investor protection and harmonize regulations and legal provisions, the region can greatly enhance its engagement with GVCs. Services exports are an increasingly important part of global trade, and they offer an untapped source of growth. The magnitude of services exports from the WB region compares favorably with that of peers in Europe, particularly in travel services where several of these countries have a revealed comparative advantage. But there is significant room for growth in tourism exports and an untapped potential in business and information technology services exports that these countries can materialize through policy efforts that increase openness and enhance connectivity and labor skills. Serbia offers a good example of how decisive efforts, including education policies to ensure a sustained supply of skilled labor, can help information technology services exports to take off.