The impact of the global crisis on Canada : what do macro-financial linkages tell us? /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Duttagupta, Rupa, author.
Imprint:[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2010.
Description:1 online resource (19 pages) : color illustrations.
Language:English
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/10/5
IMF working paper ; WP/10/5.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/13561589
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Other authors / contributors:Barrera, N. (Natalia Andrea), author.
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department, issuing body.
ISBN:1283561662
9781283561662
9781451918540
1451918542
Notes:Includes bibliographical references (page 19).
Print version record.
Summary:This paper builds a Bayesian VAR estimation model of growth for Canada, by focusing specifically on the role of external and domestic financial indicators, including credit conditions. A variance decomposition shows that financial conditions explain one-third of the total variability in Canada's real GDP growth, although changes in U.S. real GDP growth still account for a larger share of volatility in Canadian growth. A macro-financial conditions index built from the VAR's impulse responses shows that U.S. real GDP growth and lending standards will increasingly bear on Canada's growth, implying that a normalization of the U.S. economic and financial conditions is key for a sustained recovery in Canada.
Other form:Print version: Duttagupta, Rupa. Impact of the global crisis on Canada. [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2010