Setting the operational framework for producing inflation forecasts /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Canales-Kriljenko, Jorge Iván, author.
Imprint:[Washington D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Monetary and Financial Systems Dept., 2006.
Description:1 online resource (45 pages).
Language:English
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/06/122
IMF working paper ; WP/06/122.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/14153368
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Other authors / contributors:International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Department.
Notes:Includes bibliographical references.
Electronic reproduction. [S.l.] : HathiTrust Digital Library, 2010.
Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212
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Print version record.
Summary:How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This paper discusses elements for building a comprehensive platform for an inflation forecasting framework. It describes the exercise of forecasting inflation as a production process, which induces a strict discipline concerning data management, information gathering, the use of a suitable statistical apparatus, and the exercise of sound communication strategies to reinforce reputation and credibility. It becomes critical how a central bank organizes itself to produce relevant macroeconomic forecasts, with special consideration to product design, the essential requirements needed in the forecasting process, and key related organizational issues. In addition, the paper proposes to factor into the process the authorities' policy responses to previous inflation forecasts in order to be consistent with the spirit of the inflation targeting framework.
Other form:Print version: Canales-Kriljenko, Jorge Iván. Setting the operational framework for producing inflation forecasts. [Washington D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Monetary and Financial Systems Dept., 2006

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