A small quarterly multi-country projection model with financial-real linkages and oil prices /
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Imprint: | Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2008. |
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Description: | 1 online resource (74 pages) : illustrations |
Language: | English |
Series: | IMF working paper ; WP/08/280. |
Subject: | |
Format: | E-Resource Book |
URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/14153386 |
Summary: | This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small quarterly projection model of the US, Euro Area, and Japanese economies that incorporates oil prices and allows us to trace out the effects of shocks to oil prices. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques. We show how the model can be used to construct efficient baseline forecasts that incorporate judgment imposed on the near-term outlook. |
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Item Description: | At head of title: Research Dept. "December 2008." |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (74 pages) : illustrations |
Format: | Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. |
Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 36-38). |
ISBN: | 1462388078 9781462388073 1452735956 9781452735955 1282391658 9781282391659 9786613820082 6613820083 1451999356 9781451999358 |