Sixth sense : accelerating organizational learning with scenarios /
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| Imprint: | Chichester ; New York : Wiley, c2002. |
|---|---|
| Description: | xi, 307 p. : ill. ; 24 cm. |
| Language: | English |
| Subject: | |
| Format: | Print Book |
| URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/4841605 |
Table of Contents:
- About the Authors
- Introduction
- The Quest for a Clear Vision of the Future
- How this Book is Organized
- 1.. Preparing for the Future
- Understanding Organizational Success
- Maintaining Organizational Performance: Problems
- Success Stories
- Barriers to Strategic Success
- Summary: Understanding the Barriers to Scenario Planning
- 2.. How Managers Think about the Future
- Understanding Management Thinking
- Biases in thinking
- The Limitations of Judgemental Forecasting
- Decision Avoidance
- Overcoming Strategic Inertia: the Potential Benefits of Scenario Planning
- Summary: Overcoming Thinking Flaws with Scenario Planning
- 3.. How Organizations Think about the Future
- Flaws in Organizational Thinking
- Limitations Imposed by Identity
- Organizational Lock-in
- Behavioural flaws
- Overcoming the Pathologies of Organizational Life
- Summary: How Organizations Think About the Future
- 4.. The Impact of Culture and Cultural Assumptions on Strategy
- Understanding the Impact of Cultural Issues
- Defining Culture for Pragmatic Purposes
- National Cultural Differences and the Role of Scenario Thinking
- Differences in Organizational Cultures
- Differences in Professional Cultures Within Organizations
- Moving Beyond Cultural Preconceptions and Stereotypes
- The Application of Scenario Thinking to Cultural Understanding
- 5.. Shaping the Future: The Emergence of Modern Scenario Techniques
- Scenario Planning: the Human Dimension
- Scenario Thinking and War Games
- The Era of Possibility: the Makeable Post-war World
- Challenging Established Thinking: the Development of Scenarios in the 1970s
- Royal Dutch/Shell and the Problem of Predictability
- The Development of Scenarios and Strategy During the 1980s
- The 1990s: Scenario Planning and Organizational Learning
- Summary: the Benefits of Scenario Planning
- 6.. Developing the Skills for Long-Term Survival and Success: Principles of the Scenario Process
- The Need for a Scenario Process
- Scenarios and Scenario-based Organizational Learning
- How Scenarios Tackle the Problems of Organizational Thinking
- Organizational Learning
- Summary: Developing the Skills of Survival
- 7.. Scenario Planning in the Organizational Context
- Introducing the Scenario Method
- Scenarios for the Future of e-Government and the Impact of Information and Communications Technologies (ICT)
- Stage 1. Structuring the Scenario Process
- Stage 2. Exploring the Scenario Context
- Stage 3. Developing the Scenarios
- Stage 4. Stakeholder Analysis
- Stage 5. Systems Thinking
- Stage 6. Impacting Organizational Thinking and Action
- Summary: Effective Scenario Planning
- 8.. Scenario Planning: Taking Charge of the Future
- The Energetic Problem Solver
- Project 1. Making Sense of a Puzzling Situation
- Project 2. Developing Strategy
- Project 3. Improving Organizational Anticipation
- Project 4. Building an Adaptive Learning Organization
- Summary
- Rethinking the Future--the Value of Scenarios in Developing Competitive Advantage
- Developing The Sixth Sense
- Glossary
- References
- Index
