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20050127112500.0 |
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030326s2003 quc b 001 0 eng |
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|a 20039020398
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|a 0773526714 (bound)
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|a 0773526722 (pbk.)
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|a NLC
|b eng
|c NLC
|d LHA
|d PU
|d OrLoB-B
|d UtOrBLW
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050 |
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4 |
|a CB161
|b .C57 2003
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055 |
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0 |
|a CB161
|b C57 2003
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082 |
0 |
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|a 303.49
|2 21
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100 |
1 |
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|a Cocks, Doug,
|d 1937-
|1 http://viaf.org/viaf/55632666
|
245 |
1 |
0 |
|a Deep futures :
|b our prospects for survival /
|c Doug Cocks.
|
260 |
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|a Montreal ;
|a Ithaca :
|b McGill-Queen's University Press
|a Sydney :
|b University of new South Wales Press,
|c 2003.
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300 |
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|a xvii, 332 p. ;
|c 24 cm.
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336 |
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|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent
|0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/contentTypes/txt
|
337 |
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|a unmediated
|b n
|2 rdamedia
|0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/mediaTypes/n
|
338 |
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|a volume
|b nc
|2 rdacarrier
|0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/carriers/nc
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504 |
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|a Includes bibliographical references (p. [304]-320) and index.
|
505 |
0 |
0 |
|g Pt. 1.
|t Futures we Have Glimpsed --
|g Ch. 1.
|t 21C: A difficult century --
|t Global springboard to the future --
|t Hobsbawm's coming problems --
|t Geopolitical futures --
|t Geoeconomic futures --
|t World-shaping technologies --
|t A growing world population --
|t Geosocial futures --
|t Global environmental futures --
|t Global resource futures --
|t Summary: change in the 21st century --
|g Ch. 2.
|t Deep futures --
|t M3: The world of the third millennium --
|t The next glacial age --
|t Beyond the next glacial age --
|t Overview: dungeons and dragons --
|g Pt. 2.
|t Understanding the Task --
|g Ch. 3.
|t What is the question? --
|t Why do people think about the future? --
|t What do people want of their own futures? --
|t What sort of society do people want? --
|t Can societies have goals? --
|t The process of setting social goals --
|t Quality survival as a goal for world society --
|t From goals to objectives --
|t Can we shape the future? --
|t Recapitulation --
|g Ch. 4.
|t Understanding how societies change over time --
|t Ideas from history --
|t Some social psychology --
|t Sociology and societal change --
|t Systems theory and societal change --
|t Ecological theory and societal change --
|t Evolutionary theory and societal change --
|t Overview: A plurality of frameworks --
|t Conclusion --
|g Pt. 3.
|t Taking Charge --
|g Ch. 5.
|t A strategy for managing the deep future --
|t Picking a metaphor for the deep futures problem --
|t Wicked problems --
|t Accepting that rationality is bounded --
|t A strategy of responding to priority issues --
|t Four priority issues --
|g Ch. 6.
|t Guidelines I: Nursing the world through endless change --
|t Managing the change rate --
|t Managing trends --
|t Managing fragility and senescence --
|t Managing unpredictability --
|t A Sisyphean task --
|g Ch. 7.
|t Guidelines II: Learning forever --
|t Four pillars of social learning --
|t Nurturing social learning --
|t Boosting social learning --
|t Managing science and technology --
|t Managing stocks and flows of knowledge --
|t Recapitulation --
|g Ch. 8.
|t Guidelines III: Working on perennial issues --
|t Managing social relations --
|t Managing global governance --
|t Managing production and distribution --
|t Managing the global ecosystem --
|t Chapter overview --
|g Ch. 9.
|t Stories to live by --
|t Backtracking --
|t Style, attitude and role --
|g App.
|t Basic properties of dissipative (energy-degrading) systems.
|
650 |
|
0 |
|a Forecasting.
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh00005779
|
650 |
|
7 |
|a Civilization, Modern.
|2 fast
|0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst00863073
|
650 |
|
7 |
|a Forecasting.
|2 fast
|0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst00931721
|
650 |
|
7 |
|a Social prediction.
|2 fast
|0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01122769
|
901 |
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|a ToCBNA
|
903 |
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|a HeVa
|
035 |
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|a (OCoLC)52039272
|
929 |
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|a cat
|
999 |
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|i 60a9eaa1-fe3e-56e6-ba95-e45bf5ae5f75
|s ece8435c-e6ca-5a6c-8e68-d642684e9684
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928 |
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|t Library of Congress classification
|a CB161 .C63 2003
|l JRL
|c JRL-Gen
|i 5003776
|
927 |
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|t Library of Congress classification
|a CB161 .C63 2003
|l JRL
|c JRL-Gen
|e BELL
|b 65303137
|i 7588428
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