Deep futures : our prospects for survival /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Cocks, Doug, 1937-
Imprint:Montreal ; Ithaca : McGill-Queen's University Press Sydney : University of new South Wales Press, 2003.
Description:xvii, 332 p. ; 24 cm.
Language:English
Subject:
Format: Print Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/5037981
Hidden Bibliographic Details
ISBN:0773526714 (bound)
0773526722 (pbk.)
Notes:Includes bibliographical references (p. [304]-320) and index.

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Deep futures :  |b our prospects for survival /  |c Doug Cocks. 
260 |a Montreal ;  |a Ithaca :  |b McGill-Queen's University Press  |a Sydney :  |b University of new South Wales Press,  |c 2003. 
300 |a xvii, 332 p. ;  |c 24 cm. 
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504 |a Includes bibliographical references (p. [304]-320) and index. 
505 0 0 |g Pt. 1.  |t Futures we Have Glimpsed --  |g Ch. 1.  |t 21C: A difficult century --  |t Global springboard to the future --  |t Hobsbawm's coming problems --  |t Geopolitical futures --  |t Geoeconomic futures --  |t World-shaping technologies --  |t A growing world population --  |t Geosocial futures --  |t Global environmental futures --  |t Global resource futures --  |t Summary: change in the 21st century --  |g Ch. 2.  |t Deep futures --  |t M3: The world of the third millennium --  |t The next glacial age --  |t Beyond the next glacial age --  |t Overview: dungeons and dragons --  |g Pt. 2.  |t Understanding the Task --  |g Ch. 3.  |t What is the question? --  |t Why do people think about the future? --  |t What do people want of their own futures? --  |t What sort of society do people want? --  |t Can societies have goals? --  |t The process of setting social goals --  |t Quality survival as a goal for world society --  |t From goals to objectives --  |t Can we shape the future? --  |t Recapitulation --  |g Ch. 4.  |t Understanding how societies change over time --  |t Ideas from history --  |t Some social psychology --  |t Sociology and societal change --  |t Systems theory and societal change --  |t Ecological theory and societal change --  |t Evolutionary theory and societal change --  |t Overview: A plurality of frameworks --  |t Conclusion --  |g Pt. 3.  |t Taking Charge --  |g Ch. 5.  |t A strategy for managing the deep future --  |t Picking a metaphor for the deep futures problem --  |t Wicked problems --  |t Accepting that rationality is bounded --  |t A strategy of responding to priority issues --  |t Four priority issues --  |g Ch. 6.  |t Guidelines I: Nursing the world through endless change --  |t Managing the change rate --  |t Managing trends --  |t Managing fragility and senescence --  |t Managing unpredictability --  |t A Sisyphean task --  |g Ch. 7.  |t Guidelines II: Learning forever --  |t Four pillars of social learning --  |t Nurturing social learning --  |t Boosting social learning --  |t Managing science and technology --  |t Managing stocks and flows of knowledge --  |t Recapitulation --  |g Ch. 8.  |t Guidelines III: Working on perennial issues --  |t Managing social relations --  |t Managing global governance --  |t Managing production and distribution --  |t Managing the global ecosystem --  |t Chapter overview --  |g Ch. 9.  |t Stories to live by --  |t Backtracking --  |t Style, attitude and role --  |g App.  |t Basic properties of dissipative (energy-degrading) systems. 
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