The global course of the information revolution : recurring themes and regional variations /

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Bibliographic Details
Imprint:Santa Monica, CA : National Defense Research Institute, Rand, 2003.
Description:xliv, 174 p. : ill. ; 23 cm.
Language:English
Subject:
Format: Print Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/5130849
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Hundley, Richard O.
ISBN:0833034243 (pbk.)
Notes:"MR-1680-NIC"--P. [4] of cover.
"Prepared for the National Intelligence Research Council."
Includes bibliographical references (p. 163-174).
Table of Contents:
  • Preface
  • Figures
  • Tables
  • Summary
  • Acknowledgments
  • Abbreviations
  • Chapter 1. Introduction
  • We Addressed a Wide Range of Questions
  • Globalization and the Information Revolution Are Closely Linked
  • Some Topics We Did Not Address--Deliberately
  • The Course of This Effort
  • This Report
  • Much Has Happened Since We Began This Effort
  • Notes
  • Part I.. Recurring Themes
  • Chapter 2. New Technology Developments Will Continually Drive the Information Revolution
  • It Is Useful to Distinguish Among Developments in Technology, Products, and Services
  • Some Technology Developments Can Be Foreseen
  • Product Developments Will Allow Information Devices to Be Ubiquitous, Wearable, and in Continuous Contact
  • Services Developments Will Greatly Extend Access to, and the Usefulness of, Information Systems
  • Markets Will Decide What Possible Products and Services Become Actual and Widespread
  • Some Tensions Arising from These Developments Will Affect the Growth and Spread of IT-Related Products and Services
  • A Period of Information Technology Consolidation Is Both Likely and Healthy
  • Notes
  • Chapter 3. The Information Revolution is Enabling New Business Models That are Transforming the Business and Financial Worlds
  • Many New Business Models Are Arising
  • Notes
  • Chapter 4. The Information Revolution is Affecting Mechanisms of Governance and Empowering New Political Actors
  • Some Traditional Mechanisms of Governance Are Becoming Problematic
  • New Governmental Mechanisms Are Being Enabled
  • New Political Actors Are Being Empowered
  • The Information Revolution Could Over Time Change the Role of the Nation-State: The Jury Is Still Out
  • Different Nations Will Take Different Approaches to Dealing with These Changes
  • The Events of 9/11 May Lead to Increased Governmental Intervention into IT Developments
  • Notes
  • Chapter 5. The Information Revolution Both Shapes and is Shaped by Social and Cultural Values in Significant Ways
  • The Information Revolution Is Being Enabled by Technology but Driven Primarily by Nontechnical Factors, Including Social and Cultural Factors
  • Digital Divides Within and Between Nations Will Persist, but Their Future Scope, Duration, and Signifiance Are Subject to Debate
  • Ability to Acquire and Use Knowledge Will Be Critical for Success in the Information Society: Developing Human Capital Appropriately Is Key
  • Globalization, Boosted by the Information Revolution, Will Continue to Have Multivalenced Social and Cultural Effects
  • Will IT-Enabled Globalization Lead to Greater Homogeneity or Greater Heterogeneity in Sociocultural Terms? The Answer is "Yes" to Both
  • The Information Revolution Raises Significant Social-Cultural Questions for Which Well-Grounded Research Answers Are Unavailable
  • Notes
  • Chapter 6. Many Factors Shape and Characterize a Nation's Approach to the Information Revolution
  • Some Factors Are Causative
  • Other Factors Are Effects, Not Causes
  • Notes
  • Part II.. Regional Variations
  • Chapter 7. North America Will Continue in the Vanguard of the Information Revolution
  • The North American Economy and Society Are Well Positioned to Meet the Challenges of the Information Revolution
  • North America Will Exploit These Advantages to Continue in the Vanguard of the Information Revolution
  • The Dot-Com Crash and Telecom Implosion May Slow the Pace of IT-Related Developments in North America, but Only Temporarily
  • The Events of 9/11 May Lead to Increased Governmental Intervention in IT Developments in North America
  • North America Will, in General, Deal Well with the Stresses Generated by the Information Revolution
  • Notes
  • Chapter 8. The Information Revolution is Following a Somewhat Different and More Deliberate Course in Europe
  • Europeans Place More Emphasis on Wireless
  • The Information Revolution in Europe Is Developing in a Different Climate
  • The Course of the Information Revolution in Europe Is Somewhat Different
  • Will, or Must, Europe Become More Like America? Maybe Yes, Maybe No
  • Some Europeans View American Dominance as Part of the "Dark Side" of the Information Revolution
  • Notes
  • Chapter 9. Many Asia-Pacific Nations are Poised to Do Well in the Information Revolution, Some are Not
  • Asia-Pacific Nations Vary Greatly in Their Information Revolution Postures
  • The Impact of the Information Revolution on Politics and Governance in the Asia-Pacific Region Varies Widely from Nation to Nation
  • What Does the Future Hold for the Asia-Pacific Region?
  • Notes
  • Chapter 10. Latin America Faces Many Obstacles in Responding to the Information Revolution: Some Nations Will Rise to the Challenge, Others Will Not
  • Today Most Latin American Nations Are "Also-Rans" in the Information Revolution, as They Are in the Global Economy
  • Latin American Nations Can Be Divided into "Leaders," "Successful Outliers," and the Rest
  • Latin America Faces Many Obstacles in Exploiting Opportunities Offered by the Information Revolution
  • What Does the Future Hold for Latin America? Probably More of the Same
  • Notes
  • Chapter 11. Few Middle Eastern and North African Nations Will Fully Experience the Information Revolution, Some May Miss It Altogether
  • IT Penetration Is Generally Low in Most MENA Nations
  • MENA Nations Can Be Grouped into Three Categories Regarding the Information Revolution
  • The Social Implications of the Information Revolution for the MENA Nations Could Be Wide-Ranging
  • Few MENA Nations Will Fully Exploit the Information Revolution, Causing This Region to Fall Even Further Behind OECD Nations
  • Notes
  • Chapter 12. Most Countries of Sub-Saharan Africa Will Fall Further Behind in the Information Revolution
  • There Are Extreme Disparities Among African Nations; As a Result, Few Statements Apply Universally
  • In Africa, Mass Media Predominate over Point-to-Point Communication
  • Compared with the Rest of the World, Africa Is Falling Behind
  • Africa's IT Problems Are Not Primarily Technical: They Involve Factors of Culture, Competence, Capital, and Control
  • There Are, However, Positive Indications That the Information Revolution Is Moving Forward in Africa
  • External Factors May Indirectly Impede IT Growth in Africa
  • Notes
  • Part III.. Some Additional Topics (A Brief Look)
  • Chapter 13. Geopolitical Trends Furthered by the Information Revolution Could Pose Continuing Challenges to the United States
  • The U.S. Economy and Society Are Well Poised to Meet the Challenges of the Information Revolution
  • There Are Likely to Be Many Losers or Laggards Elsewhere in the World, Some of Whom Could Become Seriously Disaffected
  • The Information Revolution Better Enables Disaffected Peoples to Combine and Organize, Thereby Rendering Them Powers That Must Be Dealt With
  • The Existence of These Disaffected (and Organized) Losers or Laggards Could Lead to Trends in the World That May Challenge Vital U.S. Interests
  • These Trends Would Pose Continuing Challenges to U.S. Interests
  • Notes
  • Chapter 14. What Future Events Could Change These Projections?
  • Future "Killer Apps," Unclear at Present, Will Determine the Precise Nature of IT-Driven Transformations
  • Many Things Can Slow Down or Speed Up the Pace of IT-Driven Transformations
  • Future Geopolitical Events Could Adversely Affect How Different Nations and Regions of the World Fare
  • No Matter What Happens, the Degree to Which IT Ultimately Changes the World Is Unlikely to Change
  • Notes
  • Chapter 15. The Information Revolution is Part of a Broader Technology Revolution with Even Profounder Consequences
  • Advances in Biotechnology and Nanotechnology Will Also Greatly Change the World
  • There Are Many Synergies Between IT and These Other Revolutionary Technologies
  • The Consequences of the Biorevolution Will Be Especially Profound and Quite Controversial
  • As with the Information Revolution, the Bio- and Nanorevolutions Will Play Out Unevenly Throughout the World
  • Notes
  • Appendix. Participants in the Rand/Nic Information Revolution Conferences
  • References