New Methods for Identifying Robust Long-Term Water Resources Management Strategies for California /

New Methods for Identifying Robust Long-Term Water Resources Management Strategies for California /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:	Groves, Donald G.
Imprint:	Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2006.
Description:	ix, 206 p. : ill. (some col.), maps (some col.) ; 28 cm.
Language:	English
Series:	RAND / dissertation ; 196 Dissertation (Rand Graduate School) ; RGSD-196.
Subject:	Water-supply -- California -- Management. Water use -- California. Water resources development -- California. Water resources development. Water-supply -- Management. Water use. California.
Format:	E-Resource Dissertations Print Book
URL for this record:	http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/6287514

Hidden Bibliographic Details
Varying Form of Title:	New Methods for Identifying Robust Long Term Water Resources Management Strategies for California Methods for Identifying Robust Long Term Water Resources Management Strategies for California
Other authors / contributors:	Rand Graduate School. Rand Corporation. National Science Foundation (U.S.)
Notes:	Thesis (Ph.D.)--RAND Graduate School, 2005. Includes bibliographical references. Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.
Summary:	Ensuring sufficient, high-quality water supplies for California over the next several decades will be a great challenge for water resource managers. Choosing an appropriate management response using standard methods will be extremely difficult and contentious because the scope and magnitude of these impacts are highly uncertain and stakeholders have diverse views about desirable outcomes. This dissertation first documents the development and use of a model to generate quantitative scenarios of future water demand in California. It next describes a new analytic method for decisionmaking under deep uncertainty called Robust Decision Making (RDM). To demonstrate how RDM can be a valuable analytic tool for California long-term water planning, the dissertation applies the methodology to a stylized representation of the water supply and demand management challenge facing Southern California.

Table of Contents:

Introduction
California's Water Resources and Future Challenges
Standard Decision Theory and Its Limitations for Long-term Water Resources Planning
Scenarios of Future California Water Demand
A New Analytic Method for Identifying Robust Policies
Robust Water Management Strategies for Southern California
Summary and Key Insights
Apendix 1: Additional Water Demand Scenario Results.