Risk assessment of power systems : models, methods, and applications /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Li, Wenyuan.
Imprint:Piscataway, NJ : IEEE Press ; Hoboken, NJ : Wiley, c2005.
Description:xviii, 325 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Language:English
Series:IEEE Press series on power engineering
IEEE Press series on power engineering.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/8680091
Hidden Bibliographic Details
ISBN:0471707724
9780471707721
Notes:Includes bibliographical references (p. 315-319) and index.
Other form:Original 047163168X 9780471631682
Standard no.:10.1002/0471707724
Table of Contents:
  • Preface
  • 1. Introduction.
  • 1.1. Risk in Power Systems
  • 1.2. Basic Concepts of Power System Risk Assessment
  • 1.3. Outline of the Book
  • 2. Outage Models of System Components.
  • 2.1. Introduction
  • 2.2. Models of Independent Outages
  • 2.3. Models of Dependent Outages
  • 2.4. Conclusions
  • 3. Parameter Estimation in Outage Models.
  • 3.1. Introduction
  • 3.2. Point Estimation of Mean and Variance of Failure Data
  • 3.3. Interval Estimation of Mean and Variance of Failure Data
  • 3.4. Estimating Failure Frequency of Individual Components
  • 3.5. Estimating Probability from a Binomial Distribution
  • 3.6. Experimental Distribution of Failure Data and Its Test
  • 3.7. Estimating Parameters in Aging Failure Models
  • 3.8. Conclusions
  • 4. Elements of Risk Evaluation Methods.
  • 4.1. Introduction
  • 4.2. Methods for Simple Systems
  • 4.3. Methods for Complex Systems
  • 4.4. Conclusions
  • 5. Risk Evaluation Techniques for Power Systems.
  • 5.1. Introduction
  • 5.2. Techniques Used in Generation-Demand Systems
  • 5.3. Techniques Used in Radial Distribution Systems
  • 5.4. Techniques Used in Substation Configurations
  • 5.5. Techniques Used in Composite Generation and Transmission Systems
  • 5.6. Conclusions
  • 6. Application of Risk Evaluation to Transmission Development Planning.
  • 6.1. Introduction
  • 6.2. Concept of Probabilistic Planning
  • 6.3. Risk Evaluation Approach
  • 6.4. Selecting the Lowest-Cost Planning Alternative
  • 6.5. Applying Different Planning Criteria
  • 6.6. Conclusions
  • 7. Application of Risk Evaluation to Transmission Operation Planning.
  • 7.1. Introduction
  • 7.2. Concept of Risk Evaluation in Operation Planning
  • 7.3. Risk Evaluation Method
  • 7.4. Determining the Lowest-Risk Operation Mode
  • 7.5. A Simple Case by Hand Calculations
  • 7.6. Conclusions
  • 8. Application of Risk Evaluation to Generation Source Planning.
  • 8.1. Introduction
  • 8.2. Procedure for Reliability Planning
  • 8.3. Simulation of Generation and Risk Costs
  • 8.4. Selecting Location and Size of Cogenerators
  • 8.5. Making a Decision to Retire a Local Generation Plant
  • 8.6. Conclusions
  • 9. Selection of Substation Configurations.
  • 9.1. Introduction
  • 9.2. Load Curtailment Model
  • 9.3. Risk Evaluation Approach
  • 9.4. Selecting Substation Configuration
  • 9.5. Selecting Transmission Line Arrangement Associated with Substations
  • 9.6. Conclusions
  • 10. Reliability-Centered Maintenance.
  • 10.1. Introduction
  • 10.2. Basic Tasks in RCM
  • 10.3. Transmission Maintenance Scheduling
  • 10.4. Workforce Planning in Maintenance
  • 10.5. A Simple Case Performed by Hand Calculations
  • 10.6. Conclusions
  • 11. Probabilistic Spare-Equipment Analysis.
  • 11.1. Introduction
  • 11.2. Spare-Equipment Analysis Based on Reliability Criteria
  • 11.3. Spare-Equipment Analysis Using the Probabilistic Cost Method
  • 11.4. Determining Number and Timing of Spare Transformers
  • 11.5. Determining Redundancy Level of 500 kV Reactors
  • 11.6. Conclusions
  • 12. Reliability-Based Transmission-Service Pricing.
  • 12.1. Introduction
  • 12.2. Basic Concept
  • 12.3. Calculation Methods
  • 12.4. Rate Design
  • 12.5. Application Example
  • 12.6. Conclusions
  • 13. Probabilistic Transient Stability Assessment.
  • 13.1. Introduction
  • 13.2. Probabilistic Modeling and Simulation Methods
  • 13.3. Procedure
  • 13.4. Examples
  • 13.5. Conclusions
  • Appendix A. Basic Probability Concepts.
  • A.1. Probability Calculation Rules
  • A.2. Random Variable and its Distribution
  • A.3. Important Distributions in Risk Evaluation
  • A.4. Numerical Characteristics
  • Appendix B. Elements of Monte Carlo Simulation.
  • B.1. General Concept
  • B.2. Random Number Generators
  • B.3. Inverse Transform Method of Generating Random Variates
  • B.4. Important Random Variates in Risk Evaluation
  • Appendix C. Power-Flow Models.
  • C.1
  • C.2
  • Appendix D
  • D.1. Simplex Methods for Linear Programming
  • D.2. Interior Point Method for Nonlinear Programming
  • Appendix E Three Probability Distribution Tables.
  • References
  • Index
  • About the Author