Risk assessment of power systems : models, methods, and applications /
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Author / Creator: | Li, Wenyuan. |
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Imprint: | Piscataway, NJ : IEEE Press ; Hoboken, NJ : Wiley, c2005. |
Description: | xviii, 325 p. : ill. ; 25 cm. |
Language: | English |
Series: | IEEE Press series on power engineering IEEE Press series on power engineering. |
Subject: | |
Format: | E-Resource Book |
URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/8680091 |
Table of Contents:
- Preface
- 1. Introduction.
- 1.1. Risk in Power Systems
- 1.2. Basic Concepts of Power System Risk Assessment
- 1.3. Outline of the Book
- 2. Outage Models of System Components.
- 2.1. Introduction
- 2.2. Models of Independent Outages
- 2.3. Models of Dependent Outages
- 2.4. Conclusions
- 3. Parameter Estimation in Outage Models.
- 3.1. Introduction
- 3.2. Point Estimation of Mean and Variance of Failure Data
- 3.3. Interval Estimation of Mean and Variance of Failure Data
- 3.4. Estimating Failure Frequency of Individual Components
- 3.5. Estimating Probability from a Binomial Distribution
- 3.6. Experimental Distribution of Failure Data and Its Test
- 3.7. Estimating Parameters in Aging Failure Models
- 3.8. Conclusions
- 4. Elements of Risk Evaluation Methods.
- 4.1. Introduction
- 4.2. Methods for Simple Systems
- 4.3. Methods for Complex Systems
- 4.4. Conclusions
- 5. Risk Evaluation Techniques for Power Systems.
- 5.1. Introduction
- 5.2. Techniques Used in Generation-Demand Systems
- 5.3. Techniques Used in Radial Distribution Systems
- 5.4. Techniques Used in Substation Configurations
- 5.5. Techniques Used in Composite Generation and Transmission Systems
- 5.6. Conclusions
- 6. Application of Risk Evaluation to Transmission Development Planning.
- 6.1. Introduction
- 6.2. Concept of Probabilistic Planning
- 6.3. Risk Evaluation Approach
- 6.4. Selecting the Lowest-Cost Planning Alternative
- 6.5. Applying Different Planning Criteria
- 6.6. Conclusions
- 7. Application of Risk Evaluation to Transmission Operation Planning.
- 7.1. Introduction
- 7.2. Concept of Risk Evaluation in Operation Planning
- 7.3. Risk Evaluation Method
- 7.4. Determining the Lowest-Risk Operation Mode
- 7.5. A Simple Case by Hand Calculations
- 7.6. Conclusions
- 8. Application of Risk Evaluation to Generation Source Planning.
- 8.1. Introduction
- 8.2. Procedure for Reliability Planning
- 8.3. Simulation of Generation and Risk Costs
- 8.4. Selecting Location and Size of Cogenerators
- 8.5. Making a Decision to Retire a Local Generation Plant
- 8.6. Conclusions
- 9. Selection of Substation Configurations.
- 9.1. Introduction
- 9.2. Load Curtailment Model
- 9.3. Risk Evaluation Approach
- 9.4. Selecting Substation Configuration
- 9.5. Selecting Transmission Line Arrangement Associated with Substations
- 9.6. Conclusions
- 10. Reliability-Centered Maintenance.
- 10.1. Introduction
- 10.2. Basic Tasks in RCM
- 10.3. Transmission Maintenance Scheduling
- 10.4. Workforce Planning in Maintenance
- 10.5. A Simple Case Performed by Hand Calculations
- 10.6. Conclusions
- 11. Probabilistic Spare-Equipment Analysis.
- 11.1. Introduction
- 11.2. Spare-Equipment Analysis Based on Reliability Criteria
- 11.3. Spare-Equipment Analysis Using the Probabilistic Cost Method
- 11.4. Determining Number and Timing of Spare Transformers
- 11.5. Determining Redundancy Level of 500 kV Reactors
- 11.6. Conclusions
- 12. Reliability-Based Transmission-Service Pricing.
- 12.1. Introduction
- 12.2. Basic Concept
- 12.3. Calculation Methods
- 12.4. Rate Design
- 12.5. Application Example
- 12.6. Conclusions
- 13. Probabilistic Transient Stability Assessment.
- 13.1. Introduction
- 13.2. Probabilistic Modeling and Simulation Methods
- 13.3. Procedure
- 13.4. Examples
- 13.5. Conclusions
- Appendix A. Basic Probability Concepts.
- A.1. Probability Calculation Rules
- A.2. Random Variable and its Distribution
- A.3. Important Distributions in Risk Evaluation
- A.4. Numerical Characteristics
- Appendix B. Elements of Monte Carlo Simulation.
- B.1. General Concept
- B.2. Random Number Generators
- B.3. Inverse Transform Method of Generating Random Variates
- B.4. Important Random Variates in Risk Evaluation
- Appendix C. Power-Flow Models.
- C.1
- C.2
- Appendix D
- D.1. Simplex Methods for Linear Programming
- D.2. Interior Point Method for Nonlinear Programming
- Appendix E Three Probability Distribution Tables.
- References
- Index
- About the Author