Transparency in population forecasting : methods for fitting and projecting fertility, mortality and migration /
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| Author / Creator: | Beer, Joop de |
|---|---|
| Imprint: | Amsterdam : KNAW Press, 2011. |
| Description: | 258 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm. |
| Language: | English |
| Series: | NIDI report ; nr. 83 NiDi rapport ; nr. 83. |
| Subject: | |
| Format: | Print Book |
| URL for this record: | http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/9801953 |
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Beer, Joop de |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n95035512 |1 http://viaf.org/viaf/34622810 | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Transparency in population forecasting : |b methods for fitting and projecting fertility, mortality and migration / |c Joop de Beer. |
| 264 | 1 | |a Amsterdam : |b KNAW Press, |c 2011. | |
| 300 | |a 258 pages : |b illustrations ; |c 23 cm. | ||
| 336 | |a text |2 rdacontent |0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/contentTypes/txt | ||
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| 490 | 1 | |a NIDI report ; |v nr. 83 | |
| 520 | 8 | |a At the moment that a population forecast for the long run is published the user cannot decide whether the forecast will be accurate. The user can only judge the methods used and assumptions made by the forecaster. This requires transparency of forecasts. The forecaster should make his or her choices of methods and assumptions and the arguments behind these choices explicit. Population projections are based on assumptions about future changes in fertility, mortality and migration. This book describes methods that can be used for making these assumptions and discusses which choices have to be made by the forecaster. | |
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references. | ||
| 500 | |a Also published as author's thesis Rijksuniversiteit Groningen, 2011. | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Population forecasting |x Methodology. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Population forecasting |x Methodology. |2 fast |0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01071570 | |
| 830 | 0 | |a NiDi rapport ; |v nr. 83. | |
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