The dynamics of Syria's civil war /

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Jenkins, Brian Michael, author.
Imprint:[Santa Monica, California?] : RAND Corporation, [2014]
©2014
Description:1 online resource (23 pages) : color maps
Language:English
Series:Perspective ; PE-115
Perspective (Rand Corporation) ; PE-115.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/9968680
Related Items:Print version: Dynamics of Syria's civil war.
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Rand Corporation, issuing body.
Notes:Includes bibliographical references (pages 22-23).
Description based on online resource; title from PDF caption (RAND Corporation Web site, viewed on April 24, 2014).
Summary:As the ongoing conflict in Syria enters its third year, persistent uncertainty regarding the circumstances on the ground, potential outcomes, and long-term consequences continues to confound analysis and possible policy responses. This essay explores the dynamics of the Syrian conflict, including the characteristics and interests of the belligerents, the interests of foreign powers involved, and the implications that the present course of events has for the future of Syria and the wider region. It is concluded that the possibility of reaching a political settlement is becoming increasingly unlikely as the sectarian nature of the conflict intensifies and the unity of the rebel groups remains fractious, no end to the current stalemate is in sight. The conflict has become an existential struggle for all concerned, so not even the fall of Assad will bring an end to the violence. Also, the involvement of Islamic extremist groups and other hardliners poses a future international terrorist threat that could be directed against the West. By the end of 2014, more than half of the Syrian population could be living as refugees, which will exacerbate existing sectarian tensions in neighboring countries, another factor conducive to terrorism. We will be dealing with the effluent of Syria's civil war for decades.
Other form:Print version: Jenkins, Brian Michael. Dynamics of Syria's civil war. [Santa Monica, California?] : RAND Corporation, [2014]

MARC

LEADER 00000cam a2200000Ii 4500
001 9968680
003 ICU
005 20140424140900.0
006 m | d
007 cr |||||||||||
008 140424t20142014caub ob 000 0 eng d
035 |a (OCoLC)878077725 
035 |a 9968680 
040 |a CGU  |b eng  |e rda  |e pn  |c CGU 
049 |a CGUA 
090 |a DS98.6  |b .J45 2014 
100 1 |a Jenkins, Brian Michael,  |e author.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n80057383  |1 http://viaf.org/viaf/111671425 
245 1 4 |a The dynamics of Syria's civil war /  |c Brian Michael Jenkins. 
264 1 |a [Santa Monica, California?] :  |b RAND Corporation,  |c [2014] 
264 4 |c ©2014 
300 |a 1 online resource (23 pages) :  |b color maps 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent  |0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/contentTypes/txt 
337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia  |0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/mediaTypes/c 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier  |0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/carriers/cr 
490 1 |a Perspective ;  |v PE-115 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 22-23). 
505 0 |a Principal observations -- The dynamics of Syria's civil war -- What this essay is about -- The belligerents -- The opposition forces -- The inescapable course of events -- Potential game changers -- The fighting will go on, creating instability lasting decades -- The threat posed by foreign fighters -- Some policy implications -- Conclusion. 
520 |a As the ongoing conflict in Syria enters its third year, persistent uncertainty regarding the circumstances on the ground, potential outcomes, and long-term consequences continues to confound analysis and possible policy responses. This essay explores the dynamics of the Syrian conflict, including the characteristics and interests of the belligerents, the interests of foreign powers involved, and the implications that the present course of events has for the future of Syria and the wider region. It is concluded that the possibility of reaching a political settlement is becoming increasingly unlikely as the sectarian nature of the conflict intensifies and the unity of the rebel groups remains fractious, no end to the current stalemate is in sight. The conflict has become an existential struggle for all concerned, so not even the fall of Assad will bring an end to the violence. Also, the involvement of Islamic extremist groups and other hardliners poses a future international terrorist threat that could be directed against the West. By the end of 2014, more than half of the Syrian population could be living as refugees, which will exacerbate existing sectarian tensions in neighboring countries, another factor conducive to terrorism. We will be dealing with the effluent of Syria's civil war for decades. 
588 |a Description based on online resource; title from PDF caption (RAND Corporation Web site, viewed on April 24, 2014). 
651 0 |a Syria  |x History  |y Civil War, 2011-  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2012001320 
651 0 |a Syria  |x Politics and government  |y 21st century. 
651 0 |a Syria  |x Forecasting. 
611 0 7 |a Civil War (Syria : 2011-)  |2 fast  |0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01907471 
650 7 |a Forecasting.  |2 fast  |0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst00931721 
650 7 |a Politics and government.  |2 fast  |0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01919741 
651 7 |a Syria.  |2 fast  |0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01208757 
648 7 |a 2000-2099  |2 fast 
655 7 |a History.  |2 fast  |0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01411628 
710 2 |a Rand Corporation,  |e issuing body.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n78083407  |1 http://viaf.org/viaf/136758914 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Jenkins, Brian Michael.  |t Dynamics of Syria's civil war.  |d [Santa Monica, California?] : RAND Corporation, [2014]  |w (OCoLC)871169077  |w (ICU)9899293 
830 0 |a Perspective (Rand Corporation) ;  |v PE-115. 
856 4 0 |u http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/perspectives/PE100/PE115/RAND_PE115.pdf 
903 |a HeVa 
929 |a cat 
999 f f |i 55acb585-bdcd-5f69-bfcf-e36069893a70  |s 38420c06-3bef-5bde-8386-bffefd257283 
928 |t Library of Congress classification  |a DS98.6.J45 2014  |l Online  |c UC-FullText  |u http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/perspectives/PE100/PE115/RAND_PE115.pdf  |g ebooks  |i 7324463