Summary: | In the first decade of this century, the focus of law-enforcement agencies has shifted from prosecuting crime to anticipating crime. This approach emphasises the discovery of narratives in crime-related data. However, while narratives are at the mainstay of entertainment, law, and politics, a scientific method by which narratives can be created -and subsequently be used to anticipate criminal behaviour-, still has to be established.00In the creative industry, a narrative is generated by a scenario. A scenario describes the interactions between the characters, and includes information about behaviour,goals, motivations, modi operandi, and resistances that have to be overcome. Furthermore, a creative scenario is composed by a limited number of scenario components.00In this book a new and innovative scenario model is designed by which narratives in data can be detected. It introduces the ESC12, the twelve Elementary Scenario Components by which every conceivable narrative can be created. Moreover, the book introduces the ESC12 scenario model, a model that may support lawenforcement agencies to effectively anticipate criminal behaviour.
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