Hidden Bibliographic Details
| Other authors / contributors: | International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Department.
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| ISBN: | 9781452733920
1452733929
9781451873344
1451873344
9781451917598
1451917597
1462331556
9781462331550
9786612843976
6612843977
1282843974
9781282843974
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| Digital file characteristics: | data file
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| Notes: | At head of title: Fiscal Affairs Department.
"September 2009."
Includes bibliographical references (page 31).
English.
Print version record.
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| Summary: | This paper evaluates a microsimulation technique by comparing the simulated outcome of a program with its actual effect. The ex ante evaluation is carried out for a conditional cash transfer program, where poor households were given money if the children attended school. A model of occupational choice is used to simulate the expected impact of the program. The results suggest that the transfer would indeed increase school attendance and do more so among girls than boys. While the simulated effect tends to be larger than the actual effect, the latter lies within bootstrapped confidence intervals of the simulation.
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| Other form: | Print version: Bornhorst, Fabian, 1976- How good are ex ante program evaluation techniques? Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2009
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