Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Hjalmarsson, Erik, author.
Imprint:[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Western Hemisphere Division, 2007.
Description:1 online resource (19 pages) : illustrations
Language:English
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/07/141
IMF working paper ; WP/07/141.
Subject:
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12497912
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Other authors / contributors:Österholm, Pär, author.
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department.
ISBN:1283515326
9781283515320
Notes:Includes bibliographical references (pages 17-19).
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Electronic reproduction. [Place of publication not identified] : HathiTrust Digital Library, 2010.
Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212
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Print version record.
Summary:We investigate the properties of Johansen's (1988, 1991) maximum eigenvalue and trace tests for cointegration under the empirically relevant situation of near-integrated variables. Using Monte Carlo techniques, we show that in a system with near-integrated variables, the probability of reaching an erroneous conclusion regarding the cointegrating rank of the system is generally substantially higher than the nominal size. The risk of concluding that completely unrelated series are cointegrated is therefore non-negligible. The spurious rejection rate can be reduced by performing additional tests of restrictions on the cointegrating vector(s), although it is still substantially larger than the nominal size.
Other form:Print version: Hjalmarsson, Erik. Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated. [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Western Hemisphere Division, 2007