Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors: | Raissi, Mehdi, author.
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Department, issuing body.
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ISBN: | 1283556685 9781283556682 9781463954734 1463954735 9781463927257 1463927258
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Notes: | At head of title: Middle East and Central Asia Department. Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed December 12, 2011). "December 2011." Includes bibliographical references (pages 32-33).
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Summary: | "This paper extends the long-run growth model of Esfahani et al. (2009) to a labor exporting country that receives large inflows of external income--the sum of remittances, FDI and general government transfer--from major oil-exporting economies. The theoretical model predicts real oil prices to be one of the main long-run drivers of real output. Using quarterly data between 1979 and 2009 on core macroeconomic variables for Jordan and a number of key foreign variables, we identify two long-run relationships: an output equation as predicted by theory and an equation linking foreign and domestic inflation rates. It is shown that real output in the long run is shaped by: (i) oil prices through their impact on external income and in turn on capital accumulation, and (ii) technological transfers through foreign output. The empirical analysis of the paper confirms the hypothesis that a large share of Jordan's output volatility can be associated with fluctuations in net income received from abroad. External factors, however, cannot be relied upon to provide similar growth stimuli in the future, and therefore it will be important to diversify the sources of growth in order to achieve a high and sustained level of income"--Page [1].
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Other form: | Print version: Raissi, Mehdi. Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth: Lessons from Jordan. Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2011 9781463927257
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