Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors: | Hobdari, Niko, author, (IMF staff)
Uppal, Ali, author (IMF staff)
International Monetary Fund, publisher.
International Monetary Fund. Department, issuing body.
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ISBN: | 9781475563115 1475563116
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Notes: | "December 2016." At head of title: International Monetary Fund, Department. Includes bibliographical references (pages ). Description based on online resource; title from pdf title page (IMF.org Web site, viewed January 5, 2017).
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Summary: | This paper analyzes food inflation trends in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 2000 to 2016 using two novel datasets of disaggregated CPI baskets. Average food inflation is higher, more volatile, and similarly persistent as non-food non-fuel (NF/NF) inflation, especially in low-income countries (LICs) in SSA. We find evidence that food inflation became less persistent from 2009 onwards, related to recent improvements in monetary policy frameworks. We also find that high food prices are driven mainly by non-tradable food in SSA and there is incomplete pass-through from world food and fuel prices and exchange rates to domestic food prices. Taken together, these finding suggest that central banks in low-income countries with high and persistent food inflation should continue to pay attention to headline inflation to anchor inflation expectations. Other policy levers include reducing tariffs and improving storage and transport infrastructure to reduce food pressures.
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